Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000216 0.000242 0.000270 0.000301 0.000336 0.000374 0.000418
2025-05-25 0.000177 0.000212 0.000250 0.000298 0.000354 0.000418 0.000497
2025-06-01 0.000148 0.000186 0.000232 0.000292 0.000365 0.000454 0.000569
2025-06-08 0.000126 0.000168 0.000219 0.000288 0.000379 0.000493 0.000648
2025-06-15 0.000111 0.000154 0.000210 0.000288 0.000395 0.000535 0.000733
2025-06-22 0.000097 0.000141 0.000199 0.000285 0.000406 0.000571 0.000812
2025-06-29 0.000089 0.000133 0.000195 0.000290 0.000427 0.000621 0.000914
2025-07-06 0.000080 0.000125 0.000190 0.000291 0.000444 0.000665 0.001011
2025-07-13 0.000073 0.000117 0.000183 0.000289 0.000454 0.000700 0.001096
2025-07-20 0.000068 0.000113 0.000182 0.000296 0.000479 0.000759 0.001221
2025-07-27 0.000063 0.000108 0.000178 0.000298 0.000495 0.000805 0.001330
2025-08-03 0.000058 0.000102 0.000174 0.000299 0.000509 0.000849 0.001437
2025-08-10 0.000053 0.000096 0.000168 0.000295 0.000517 0.000883 0.001533
2025-08-17 0.000049 0.000092 0.000165 0.000298 0.000535 0.000936 0.001665
2025-08-24 0.000045 0.000086 0.000159 0.000295 0.000543 0.000973 0.001771
2025-08-31 0.000042 0.000082 0.000155 0.000294 0.000554 0.001015 0.001890
2025-09-07 0.000039 0.000078 0.000151 0.000295 0.000568 0.001063 0.002024
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000074 0.000147 0.000293 0.000576 0.001101 0.002139
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000072 0.000146 0.000298 0.000599 0.001167 0.002313
2025-09-28 0.000032 0.000070 0.000144 0.000300 0.000615 0.001222 0.002470
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000066 0.000140 0.000297 0.000623 0.001261 0.002598
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000065 0.000141 0.000305 0.000651 0.001342 0.002815
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000063 0.000139 0.000307 0.000668 0.001401 0.002993